BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Lone Tree

Class: 1A Class Rank: 6 Conference: (19-1) Overall: (25-2) Overall Strength =   82.33

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2012 Home    W *  83.26  81  58   1A  45 (15- 9) Packwood Pekin          0.18     22.82                      
  2 11/30/2012 Home    W *  90.78  72  54   1A  18 (22- 3) Iowa Mennonite          7.69     10.31                      
  3 12/04/2012 Away    W *  75.09  73  47   2A  83 ( 9-14) Wapello                -7.99 *   33.99                      
  4 12/07/2012 Away    W *  93.11  61  31   2A  56 (14- 9) Mediapolis             10.02     19.98                      
  5 12/08/2012 Neutral W    89.61  63  51   ZZ  44 ( 1- 1) Scales Mound IL         6.52      5.48  Marquette Tr.       
  6 12/08/2012 Away    W    74.07  67  66   1A  21 (15- 8) Bellevue Marquette     -9.01     10.01  Marquette Tr        
  7 12/11/2012 Home    W *  92.21  95  44   1A 104 ( 7-16) Winfield-Mt Union       9.13 *   41.87                      
  8 12/14/2012 Away    W *  82.85  70  35   2A  89 ( 7-15) Louisa-Muscatine       -0.24 *   35.24                      
  9 12/17/2012 Home    W *  91.01  87  31   2A  97 ( 1-21) Columbus Junction       7.92 *   48.08                      
 10 01/03/2013 Home    W *  85.77  74  44   1A  58 (14- 9) Riverside Highland      2.68 *   27.32  was 12/21 now 01/03 
 11 01/04/2013 Home    W *  83.62  66  30   1A  88 ( 7-15) Wayland WACO            0.53 *   35.47                      
 12 01/08/2013 Away    W *  65.09  71  69   1A  45 (15- 9) Packwood Pekin        -17.99     19.99                      
 13 01/11/2013 Away    W *  99.61  72  48   1A  18 (22- 3) Iowa Mennonite         16.52      7.48                      
 14 01/15/2013 Home    W *  81.26  82  47   2A  83 ( 9-14) Wapello                -1.83 *   36.83                      
 15 01/18/2013 Home    W *  80.28  78  58   2A  56 (14- 9) Mediapolis             -2.81     22.81                      
 16 01/22/2013 Away    W *  80.04  82  46   1A 104 ( 7-16) Winfield-Mt Union      -3.04 *   39.04                      
 17 01/25/2013 Home    W *  74.01  71  42   2A  89 ( 7-15) Louisa-Muscatine       -9.07 *   38.07                      
 18 01/26/2013 Away    W    67.87  57  51   1A  46 (11-12) Springville           -15.22     21.22                      
 19 01/29/2013 Away    W *  99.45  87  38   1A  88 ( 7-15) Wayland WACO           16.37 *   32.63                      
 20 02/04/2013 Away    W *  87.84  99  49   2A  97 ( 1-21) Columbus Junction       4.75 *   45.25  was 01/31 now 02/04 
 21 02/05/2013 Away    W *  87.60  83  54   1A  58 (14- 9) Riverside Highland      4.51     24.49  was 02/02 now 02/05 
 22 02/08/2013 Home    L *  70.48  41  64   1A   1 (27- 1) Danville              -12.61    -10.39  Conference Tournament
 23 02/14/2013 Home    W    74.04  60  45   1A  46 (11-12) Springville            -9.05     24.05                      
 24 02/19/2013 Neutral W *  75.18  62  44   1A  58 (14- 9) Riverside Highland     -7.90 *   25.90                      
 25 02/22/2013 Neutral W    91.11  57  46   1A   9 (20- 4) Preston                 8.03      2.97  was 02/21 now 02/22 
 26 02/23/2013 Neutral W    81.75  68  55   1A  23 (23- 2) Dunkerton              -1.34     14.34                      
 27 03/04/2013 Neutral L    86.33  54  58   1A   2 (25- 3) Boyden-Hull             3.25     -7.25                      
      Averages              83.09  71.6 48.3

Best game:   99.61 = 24 point win over Kalona Iowa Mennonite
Worst game:  65.09 = 2 point win over Packwood Pekin
Team stdev:   9.04